If you’ve ever wondered why a company’s share trades at a certain price, you’re in the right spot. Stock valuation is just a way to estimate what a share should be worth based on the business’s facts. It isn’t magic, just a set of tools that help you decide if a stock is cheap, fair, or pricey.
First off, forget the hype. Look at the numbers the company actually reports – revenue, profit, cash flow. Those figures tell you how well the business is running today and give clues about tomorrow. The easier the numbers, the easier the valuation.
The price‑to‑earnings (P/E) ratio is the most popular. Divide the current share price by the earnings per share (EPS). A low P/E might mean the stock is undervalued, but it could also signal trouble. Compare the P/E with peers in the same industry to see if it truly looks cheap.
Next, try the price‑to‑book (P/B) ratio. This one divides the share price by the book value per share – essentially what the company would be worth if you sold all its assets and paid off its debts. Real‑estate or bank stocks often look better with a P/B lens.
Don’t skip the dividend yield if the company pays dividends. Take the annual dividend per share and divide it by the share price. A high yield can boost total return, but be wary of yields that seem too good – they might be a red flag.
1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) – Project the company’s free cash flow for the next 5‑10 years, then discount those figures back to today using a reasonable rate (often the company’s cost of capital). If you’re not comfortable with spreadsheets, many finance sites let you plug numbers into a DCF calculator.
2. Comparable Company Analysis (Comps) – Find a handful of similar companies, note their P/E, P/B, and other ratios, then apply the average to your target’s earnings or book value. This method gives you a market‑based snapshot.
3. EV/EBITDA – Enterprise value (market cap plus debt minus cash) divided by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation. This metric works well for firms with big capital expenses, like manufacturers.
Pick one method that feels comfortable, run the numbers, and then compare the result to the current market price. If the calculated value is higher than the market price, the stock could be a bargain. If it’s lower, think twice before buying.
Remember, valuation isn’t a one‑time act. Companies grow, markets shift, and new information pops up all the time. Re‑run your calculations every few months or whenever something big happens – a new product launch, a regulatory change, or a earnings surprise.
Finally, blend the math with a bit of common sense. A great number won’t save you if the company’s business model is falling apart. Look at its competitive position, management quality, and industry trends. Combine those insights with your valuation figures, and you’ll make smarter, more confident investment choices.
So grab a spreadsheet, pull a few reports, and start valuing. The more you practice, the clearer the picture will become, and the easier it gets to spot a good deal.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services maintains a 'Neutral' rating for Bajaj Auto with a target price of Rs 8,770. Despite Bajaj Auto's Q3 FY25 showing a modest increase in net profit and revenue, the brokerage slightly lowers its earnings forecast due to challenges like domestic market share losses and global economic uncertainty. Bajaj Auto is believed to remain fairly valued despite a stock price adjustment.